Emergency Fund Shortfall Risk: The Case for Stock Allocation
Revise and Resubmit -- Financial Services Review
This paper challenges the conventional recommendation that households should maintain emergency funds in low-risk liquid accounts, such as high-yield savings accounts. Using simulations from 1958–2025, we show that stock-based funding strategies reach standard emergency fund thresholds faster in approximately three-quarters of cases. While stock investing introduces volatility risk, we identify a previously undocumented tradeoff—emergency fund shortfall risk—whereby conservative savings strategies increase the likelihood that households lack sufficient funds during financial shocks. This newly defined risk is greatest for households that have low rates of savings; thus, these households may be best served investing emergency savings in stocks. Based on our analysis, we argue that prevailing emergency fund guidance i) does not account for emergency fund shortfall risk; ii) overlooks the specific needs of investors; and iii) does not align with historical outcomes.
Under Review -- Journal of Economics and Finance Education
Each year, roughly 600,000 kids compete in the Stock Market Game, a biannual competition where
students, typically in grades four through twelve, manage a theoretical $100,000 portfolio in hopes of
outpacing their competitors. Prior research offers some evidence that the game increases financial
literacy, boosts attendance, and improves students’ scores on standardized math tests. Alternatively,
some have criticized the game as it incentivizes players to buy individual stocks and build a portfolio with
low diversification. Furthermore, short-sales and trading on margin, activities that are inadvisable for
real-world investing, are viable strategies for participants in the SMG. In this paper, I analyze prior
research on the stock market game, compare strategic play in the stock market game vs. real world
investing, and find evidence of questionable financial tactics from regional and national winners of past
iterations of the content. Finally, I propose alternative simulations and contests that teachers could use
to replace—or to use in conjunction with—the stock market game.
A theoretical examination of cash-back credit cards and their effect on consumer spending
Published -- Financial Servieces Review
The role of cash-back credit cards in personal financial strategies is highly debated. For example, Dave Ramsey (Ramsey, 2019) urges consumers to avoid even the most lucrative cash-back cards, while others argue that these cards offer significant savings. Herein, we construct models to analyze the use of cash-back cards by rational consumers, demonstrating that cash-back cards increase spending (and, thus, reduce savings) for some consumers. While prior research focuses on behavioral issues related to credit cards, our research is the first to show that some consumers will rationally increase spending when using a cash-back credit card in lieu of cash.